The so-called AI arms race has become a common feature in news headlines, 4 but the arms race framing fails to match reality. Air Force, warned of the risks of falling behind in a “digital arms race with China.” 3 In 2018, then-Under Secretary of Defense Michael Griffin, calling for the United States to invest more in AI, stated, “There might be an artificial intelligence arms race, but we’re not yet in it.” 2 In a 2020 Wired article, Will Roper, then chief acquisition officer for the U.S. If any major military power pushes ahead with AI weapon development, a global arms race is virtually inevitable.” 1 Today, many nations are working to apply AI for military advantage, and the term “AI arms race” has become a catchphrase used by both critics and proponents of AI militarization. “The key question for humanity today,” they wrote, “is whether to start a global AI arms race or to prevent it from starting. In 2015, a group of prominent AI and robotics researchers signed an open letter warning of the dangers of autonomous weapons.
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